Saturday:
Sun and some clouds for Saturday. Highs into the 60s at the base and 50s up top. Breezy southwest winds with gusts up to 30+ mph up top.
Sunday Night – Monday System:
Sunday we should see increasing clouds and winds during the day with highs into the 50s. South winds gusting up to 60+ mph up top. Marginal for affecting lifts but we could see a few upper mountain lift wind holds if winds are strong enough.
The latest forecast model runs track the next storm into Central CA with the heaviest precipitation to the south of the Tahoe Basin. Light precipitation could reach the mountain between 11 PM – 5 AM Sunday night and could continue into Monday evening before clearing out Monday night. Highs drop into the 30s on the mountain to near 40 degrees at the base Monday, with the winds dropping through the day.
Snow levels could start out between 7000-8000 ft. Sunday evening and then fall overnight and should be near to just above the base by Monday morning (6000-7000 ft.). Then they could rise again Monday up to 6300 – 7300 ft. by afternoon and then back down to 6000-7000 ft. again by the end Monday evening. Snow levels tend to be higher with lighter precip like drizzle and lower under any heavier showers.
Based on the latest forecast model runs, we could see 0-1 inches at the base with a rain to snow to rain to snow back and forth possible. The upper mountain could see 1-4 inches of new snow by Monday evening.
Tuesday – Friday:
Tuesday through the end of the week high-pressure edges in along the West Coast. That should keep us dry with mostly sunny skies through the end of the week. Highs could return to the 50s at the base and 40s up top. A trough dropping down to our east Thursday could bring a shot of cooler air and northeast breezes.
Long-Range:
For the first weekend in April, we have the return of the Winter Wondergrass Festival after a two-year absence! The weather could be springlike if the latest forecast model runs verify. Right now it looks like mostly sunny skies with highs near 60s degrees at the base and 50s on the mountain.
The week of the 4th the long-range models are hinting at a pattern change back to cooler and more unsettled weather, with the chance for a weak storm or two brushing us with light precipitation. But the storm track could also stay to our north. We will continue to watch the trends as we get closer.
BA