Wednesday will be mostly sunny with highs in the 30s on the mountain to near 40 degrees at the base. The winds begin to crank up from the southwest gusting up to 60-70+ mph up top by afternoon which could affect some upper mountain lift operations.
Winds crank up to over 100 mph over the ridgetops Thursday so expect some lift closures. The snow is forecast to reach the Tahoe Basin very early Thursday morning before sunrise and continue into Thursday evening, then clearing by Friday morning. Snow levels may start out just below the base and fall below 2000 ft. by the end Thursday night. Highs in the 30s at the base and 20s up top.
The heaviest snow is expected during the day on Thursday along with the high winds. The storm could start with thicker snow Thursday that turns very powdery into Thursday night. The latest model runs show enough precipitation for 1-2 feet of new snow at the base and 20-30 inches on the upper mountain with this storm by Friday morning.
Friday the sun comes out and the winds come down with gusts up to 30+ mph up top. It’s cold with highs only in the 20s on the mountain to near 30 degrees at the base. It should be a great powder day!
The next storm is still on track to move in sometime Saturday afternoon/evening and could last into Monday evening before ending. This storm will also tap a decent amount of moisture off of the Pacific ocean. Ridgetop winds will increase again on Saturday with gusts up to 40-50+ mph from the SW into Sunday.
Snow of varying intensity could continue into Monday with the winds coming down some into the afternoon. Highs in the 20s on the mountain and low 30s at the base through Monday. We could see an additional 10-20 inches of snow at the base and 1-2+ feet on the mountain by Monday morning. 5-day totals of 2-3 feet possible at the base and 3-4+ feet on the upper mountain!
The long-range models continue to suggest that we could see quieter weather Tuesday through at least next Thursday the 8th.
Then they suggest that the storm track could return to CA around the 9th, but confidence is low in the pattern as we go towards mid-month. We’ll continue to watch the trends as we get closer.