Dry & Mild Through Saturday:
High pressure is sitting over the West into Saturday. We will see mostly sunny skies and mild temperatures. Highs into the 60s at the base and 50s up top. Breezy southwest winds into Saturday as a trough approaches the West Coast. Gusts up to 30-40+ mph are possible on top of the mountain.
Sunday Night – Monday System:
Sunday we should see increasing clouds and winds during the day with highs into the 50s. South winds gusting up to 50-60+ mph up top.
The latest forecast model runs track the next storm into Central CA with the heaviest precipitation to the south of the Tahoe Basin. Light precipitation could reach the mountain between 11 PM – 3 AM Sunday night and could continue into Monday evening before clearing out Monday night. Highs drop into the 30s on the mountain Monday with the winds dropping down.
Snow levels could start out around 7300-7800 ft. Sunday evening and then fall overnight and should be near to just above the base by Monday morning (6000-6500 ft.). Then they could rise again Monday up to 6800 – 7300 ft. by afternoon and then back down near the base again by the end Monday evening (6300-6800 ft. Snow levels could be a tad higher with lighter precip like drizzle, and a tad lower under any heavy showers.
Based on the latest forecast model runs, we could see 0-1 inches at the base with a rain to snow to rain to snow back and forth possible. The upper mountain could see 1-4 inches of new snow by Monday evening.
Tuesday – Friday:
Tuesday through the end of next week high-pressure edges in along the West Coast. That should keep us dry with mostly sunny skies through the end of the week. Highs could return to the 50s to near 60 degrees at the base by the 2nd half of next week.
For the first weekend in April, we have the return of the Winter Wondergrass Festival after a two-year absence! The weather could be springlike if the latest forecast model runs verify. Right now it looks like mostly sunny skies with highs into the 60s at the base and 50s for the upper mountain.
The week of the 4th the long-range models are hinting at a pattern change back to cooler and more unsettled weather, with the chance for a weak storm or two. But the storm track could also stay just to our north. We will continue to watch the trends as we get closer.