Sunday a cold trough is approaching from the north. We could cool a few degrees back into the 40s and see increasing west winds. Ridgetop gusts up to 70+ mph during the afternoon could affect some lifts by afternoon.
Sunday Night – Tuesday Night Systems:
A cold trough digs down from the north after midnight Sunday night bringing colder air and the chance for snow showers into Monday morning. Highs drop into the 30s at the base and 20s up top with breezy west winds. Right now amounts look light with the front Monday morning with a dusting up to an inch of snow on the mountain.
We could see a break between systems Monday afternoon, but then another cold system drops down through the Sierra bringing an increase in snow showers later Monday through Tuesday night. It will get quite cold with highs only in the 20s at the base and teens up top. We should clear Wednesday but still just as cold.
The snowfall forecast is tricky with this type of system, but the cold air helps to fluff the totals with light and powdery snow. Looking at an average of the latest model runs Sunday morning, the totals continue to increase slightly. The updated forecast is for 8-12 inches at the base, and 10-18 inches on the mountain by Wednesday morning.
We could see a break in the storms with a drier pattern Thursday into Saturday. Warming slightly each day. Starting in the 30s at the base and 20s up top Thu – Fri, and then 40s & 30s for the weekend.
The latest model runs are at odds on whether we could get brushed by a storm the last 2 days of the month or if they stay to our north. We’ll continue to watch the trends.
It looks like we could see a more active pattern return around the 3rd of March. We’ll continue to watch the trends on that as well as we get closer.