Monday – Saturday Weather:
We are expecting mostly sunny skies for Monday and then partly sunny skies through Thursday as an area of low pressure spins off the CA coast, keeping most of the moisture just to our west. We may see some clouds with the best chance for a few showers to sneak into the northern Sierra looking to be Wednesday night into Thursday, and again Friday night into Saturday as the low finally moves inland through CA.
Highs near 50 degrees at the base through Thursday and 40s for the mountain, and then maybe a few degrees cooler Friday-Saturday. The latest model runs still show up to half an inch of total precipitation. The latest forecast model runs show snow levels staying up around 7500-8500 ft. even at the colder point of the storm Friday night into Saturday.
We could see up to 1-3 inches of snow on the highest peaks, but rain for most elevations is expected through Saturday.
Long-Range Forecast:
By Sunday into early next week, high pressure is still forecast to begin building over the West Coast. There is a system moving through the Pacific NW Sunday that could bring us a few clouds, but the moisture looks to stay to our north. Then drier into early next week.
The long-range models still show a cold trough digging into the West around Thanksgiving. That could bring some colder temperatures into the region and colder nights for better snowmaking. With the trough digging down from the north, any storms would likely have an over land trajectory and would be moisture-starved.
It’s possible that the trough shifts a bit west with time and possibly allows some storms into northern CA later in the month. Let’s hope…
BA
