Tuesday – Friday:
The next system approaching the West Coast is going to split with a closed low forming and dropping south off of the CA coast Tuesday-Wednesday missing us. We should stay dry through Friday. Clouds with some peeks of sun Tuesday & Wednesday, then mostly sunny Thu-Fri. Highs warming into the 40s on the upper mountain and near 50 degrees at the base.
Ridgetop winds should be lighter Tuesday-Thursday. They could pick up a little later Thursday. Then we could see gusty winds Friday as the next system approaches, with ridgetop winds from the south gusting up to 60+ mph.
The Weekend:
Friday night into Saturday we could see the 1st system move into California and the Sierra. We may see light snow by early Saturday morning with snow showers into the day on Saturday. Then clearing by Saturday night. Highs dropping into the 30s on the mountain to near 40 degrees at the base. We could see 1-3 inches of fresh snow at the base and 2-4 inches on the mountain by Saturday afternoon.
We will continue to track this system all week and will fine-tune the potential snowfall. Overall the system looks pretty weak right now. Sunday we should see mostly sunny skies with highs in the 30s on the upper mountain and 40s at the base.
Long-Range:
The active pattern may continue through mid-month. The next system may move slowly down the CA early next week. That could bring a couple of days of snow if it tracks close enough to the CA coast. We will be watching this system all week and will try to get a better idea of timing and snowfall as we get closer.
Additional systems may continue to drop south into CA through mid-month. We may be heading into a cooler and more active pattern for at least 10 days starting this weekend.
BA