10 More Days of Dry and Mild Weather:
The high-pressure ridge near the CA coast is keeping the storm track to our north, and is still forecast to shift east over the West into next week, and become stronger. It is forecast to stay there through next Friday, the 20th.
That will bump the storm track even farther north and will bring even milder temperatures. Highs in the 50s to near 60 degrees for the lower elevations, and 40s above 8k’ through the weekend, and then warmer next week with highs into the 60s to near 70 degrees in the village, and 50s for the upper mountain.
Mostly sunny days through the period. The ridge starts to weaken and shift east over the weekend of the 21st-22nd, with temperatures likely cooling back into the 50s and 40s for highs. The latest model runs keep us dry through Sunday, the 22nd.
Long-Range Outlook:
The long-range models continue to suggest that we see some troughing near the West Coast during the last week of March, which could bring in some even cooler and some unsettled weather.
Highs near mid-mountain are in the 50s through Sunday, then 60s next week, and cooling back into the 50s then 40s beyond the 22nd. The ensemble mean models show light amounts of precipitation possible from storms trying to dig far enough south to bring us some rain and snow during the last week of March.
It will be nice to see some snow and cooler temperatures if we can get a couple of storms to reach us during the last week of March. But we will need bigger storms than what is currently showing up on the models to recover a snow base instead of just refreshing the one we have.
Looking out to the end of the month into the 1st week of April, the longer-range models suggest that the pattern could remain similar, with a chance for storms to continue to brush us with lighter amounts of rain and snow.
We’ll continue to watch closely for any bigger storms that could bring us measurable snowfall.
BA
