Sunday – Monday:
The dry pattern continues with clear skies through Monday. Highs in the 40s Sunday and into the 50s Monday as high pressure over the region begins to start shifting east. The snowmaking at night looks marginal but with breezy winds maybe we can make a little both nights on the mid-upper mountain.
Tuesday – Wednesday:
A split trough swings through Tuesday bringing some colder air but staying dry with low-pressure systems staying to our north and south. The good news is that the nights will be colder Tuesday and Wednesday night with lows into the 20s for most elevations. That should bring the best night for snowmaking Tuesday night and even with inversions starting Wednesday night we may still get a decent night, especially for the lower mountain.
Thanksgiving Day thru The Weekend:
By Thanksgiving Day through next weekend, we are expecting a strong high-pressure ridge to build over the region bringing dry and mild weather. We will see mild weather with highs into the 50s starting Thursday. Unfortunately, it looks like both milder temperatures and overnight inversions may keep any snowmaking to the lowest elevations or make it impossible completely.
Long-Range:
The latest forecast model runs show us staying dry through at least the daytime hours of the 30th.
As we start the 1st week of December, the long-range models are trying to start shifting the pattern right away in the new month. They are in decent agreement in breaking down the large ridge over the West and replacing it with a flatter ridge off the CA coast.
A large trough in the northeast Pacific is forecast to see storms start spinning up in it and moving into the Pacific NW through the 1st week of December. With the flat ridge off the coast, we would be on the southern edge of the storms, but we could see a few weak systems starting as early as the night of the 30th. Through the 1st few days of December, the long-range models show light amounts of precip starting to add up.
As we go towards the end of the 1st week of December we may see a deeper trough down the West Coast which would allow for the storms to dig farther south and bring us wetter storms potentially. That will be the focus over the next 10 days. Let’s hope we can get things going as we go into December.
BA
