The 1st Week of December:
The latest forecast model runs continue to show a dry pattern for CA through the 1st week of December as high pressure builds in over the West Coast. Mostly sunny skies should continue. Highs in the 40s on the mountain to near 50 degrees at the base by Friday.
We may see inversions with the colder temperatures at the base and warmer up top. That could make temperatures a bit too warm up top for snowmaking, but it should remain below freezing on the lower mountain for continued snowmaking and terrain expansion.
Long-Range:
The pattern may not shift enough for the chance to see a storm until at least the 10th-11th of December. The latest model runs show the PNA (Pacific North American) pattern shifting back towards the negative phase and the high-pressure ridge shifting just off the West Coast. That could allow a cold weak system to drop down from the north around the 10th-11th, and then possibly another system around mid-month.
We may see a better chance for storms to return during the 3rd week of December into the last week of the month. I’m not seeing a pattern yet that would set us up for a series of bigger storms. I will continue to monitor the long-range patterns and we will let you know when storms are inbound.
BA
